AESCS 2015

The 9th International Workshop on Agent-based Approach in Economic and Social Complex Systems



Keynote Speech

Ragupathy_2015_1 (2)

Shu-Heng Chen and Ragupathy Venkatachalam (AI‐ECON Research Center, National Chengchi University)

Abstract: In this presentation, based on the definition given by the director of the United Nations Global Pulse project, Robert Kirkpatrick, we propose a formal description of what big data is. The proposed definition is fundamental because we intend to address some misconceptions or misunderstandings of this neologism. Based on the proposed definition, we then show that agent‐based modelingessentially provides an exact operational definition  of big data, which has been largely ignored by the bid data literature developed so far. This connection can be seen from the work done by the biologist Brian Partridge on the discovery of the behavioral rules, the so‐called triple‐A rule, underlying the observed school of fish (Partridge, 1981). What Partridge did is to use a lab (platform) to place fishes with wearable devices so that their collective movement can be archived. After that, the archived (big) data was analyzed by human labor (nowadays, called human intelligence tasks by Amazon Mechanical Turks). Partridge’s pioneering work well demonstrates the essential characteristics of big data research. A few years later, Craig Reynolds, a computer animator, in his Boid project, used agent‐based simulation to replicate the essential collective navigation pattern of flocks of birds and to corroborate the earlier found triple‐A rule (Reynolds, 1987).

By integrating this two earlier studies, one being experimental and one being agent‐based simulation, the relation between agent‐based modeling and big data becomes clear. In a nutshell, to the best of our knowledge, agent‐based modeling is the only modeling methodology that can generate big data if the Kirkpatrick’s definition is applied. Statistics and machine learning can be used to analyze the observed or generated (experimental) big data, but they are not theoretic foundations for understanding how these data is generated in the first place.

Having this understanding in mind, we demonstrate a number of prototypical agent‐based models that may shed light on the current research involving big data. The first prototype is agent‐based model of on‐line customer reviews, and the second prototype is the agent‐based financial model. The former case can have implications for digital democracy and digital governance, whereas the latter case is relevant for the sentimental analysis in financial markets. In addition to these two prototypes directly related to digital societies or the Web 2.0 economy, we also address the possible extensions into digital humanities, such as agent‐based models related to evolutionary linguistics, history of ideas, and big history.

Tentative Schedule

Day 1 – Wednesday, 9 September 2015
Time Schedule Speaker Room
08.00 – 08.30 Registration Lobby
08.30 – 09.00 Opening Ceremony Sedap Malam Room
09.00 – 10.15 Keynote Speech : “The Need of Agent-based Modeling and Simulation to deal with Complex Policy Development in Indonesia, Japan and Taiwan” Prof. Kuntoro Mangkusubroto
(Institut Teknologi Bandung)
Keynote material
Sedap Malam Room
Prof. Takao Terano
(Tokyo Institute of Technology)
Keynote Material
Prof. Kyoichi Kijima
(Tokyo Institute of Technology)
Keynote Material
10.15 – 10.30 Coffee Break Lobby
10.30 – 12.00 Panel Discussion: “Application of Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation in Social and Economics” Prof. Hiroshi Deguchi
(Tokyo Institute of Technology)
Sedap Malam Room
Prof. Kyoichi Kijima
(Tokyo Institute of Technology)
Prof. Takao Terano
(Tokyo Institute of Technology)
Prof. Shingo Takahashi
(Waseda University)
Prof. Utomo Sarjono Putro
(Institut Teknologi Bandung)
Prof. Kuntoro Mangkusubroto
(Institut Teknologi Bandung)
Dr. Pri Hermawan (Moderator)
(Institut Teknologi Bandung)
12.00 – 13.15 Lunch Break Lobby
13.15 – 14.45 Parallel Session 1 Meeting Room
14.45 – 15.00 Coffee Break Lobby
15.00 – 17.00 Parallel Session 2 Meeting Room
17.00 – 18.00 Welcoming Party Hotel
Day 2 – Thursday, 10 September 2015
Time Schedule Speaker Room
08.30 – 09.00 Registration Lobby
09.00 – 10.00 Keynote Speech : “Agent-Based Modeling as a Foundation of Big Data” Prof. Shu-heng Chen
(National Chengchi University, Taiwan)
Keynote Material
Sedap Malam Room
will be delivered by
Dr. Ragupathy Venkatachalam
(National Chengchi University, Taiwan
10.00 – 10.15 Coffee Break Lobby
10.15 – 11.45 Parallel Session 3 Meeting Room
11.45 – 13.00 Lunch Break Lobby
13.00 – 14.10 Parallel Session 4 Meeting Room
15.00 – 19.00 Social Tour Jimbaran
19.00 – 21.00 Gala Dinner Jimbaran
Day 3 – Friday, 11 September 2015
Time Schedule Speaker Room
08.30 – 09.00 Registration Lobby
09.00 – 10.00 Keynote Speech : “Sustainable Agricultural Mechanization in Asia and the Pacific with Agent-based Modeling Approach” Dr. Astu Unadi
(Indonesian Agency for Agricultural Research and Development)
Sedap Malam Room
10.00 – 10.15 Coffee Break Lobby
10.15 – 11.25 Parallel Session 5 Meeting Room
11.25 – 13.00 Closing and Lunch Lobby


Parallel Session Schedule *

Day 1 : Wednesday, 9 September 2015
Time Meeting Room 1 (Chairman: Ragupathy Venkatachalam*) Meeting Room 2 (Chairman: Pri Hermawan)
Name Paper Title Name Paper Title
13:00 – 13:20 Fujio Toriumi, Isamu Okada, Hitoshi Yamamoto Modeling Consumer Generated Media by Generalized Meta-Sanctions Game Yos Sunitiyoso Understanding the Learning Processes of Traveller Behavioral Choices using Agent-Based Approach: A Conceptual Framework
13:25 – 13:45 Liane Okdinawati, Togar M. Simatupang and Yos Sunitiyoso Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning for Collaborative Transportation Management (CTM) Nikolaus Franke, Peter Keinz, Alfred Taudes and Thomas Funke The effectiveness of firm-controlled supporters to pacify online firestorms: A case-based simulation of the “Playmobil” customize-it incident
13:50 – 14:10 Ratna Hidayati and Santi Novani An Implementation of Agent-Based Simulation to Increase Brands Knowledge in LCC Airlines Mohsen Jafari Songhori, Majid Abdi and Takao Terano Interactions Pattern and Technological Evolution of Product Subsystems: Implications from a Multi-attribute Landscape Search model
14:15 – 14:35 Shuang Chang, Santi Novani, and Hiroshi Deguchi Cultivating Citizens’ Collaborative Participation in Open Government Services – An Agent Based Simulation Model Yuliati Komar, Pri Hermawan, Utomo Sarjono Putro and Soehartati Gondhowiardjo An Agent Based Simulation Approach for Government Intervention in Reducing High Risk HPV
Meeting Room 1 (Chairman: Takashi Yamada) Meeting Room 2 (Chairman: Santi Novani)
14:50 – 15:10 Muhamad Insan Nasher, Swastika Tiara Ardhiani, Roro Arinda Reswanti Julian Pratama, Akbar Adhiutama, and Manahan Siallagan Concept of Distribution System Improvement Using Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation: National Examination in Indonesia Tutik Inayati, Santi Novani, Utomo Sarjono Putro and Takeshi Arai Students decisions after graduation: a perspective using Agent Based Simulation
15:15 – 15:35 Jiao Xue, Manabu Ichikawa, and Hiroshi Deguchi A Pandemic Immunization Simulation based on Social Network Analysis Santi Novani and Lidia Mayangsari Soft System Agent Based Methodology: A Multi-Methodology Approach between Soft System Methodology and Agent-Based Modeling
15:40 – 16:00 Andre R. Daud Understanding Risks in Milk Supply Chain: An Agent-Based Conceptual Model Shu-Heng Chen, Ying-Fang Kao, Bin-Tzong Chie, Timo Meyer and Ragupathy Venkatachalam Size Effects in Agent-Based Macroeconomic Models
16:05 – 16:25 Seiichi Inagaki Understanding Risks in Milk Supply Chain: An Agent-Based Conceptual Model Jieliang Zhou, Takashi Yamada, and Takao Terano How to attract Customers to your website with word-of-mouth communication in social media
Day 2 : Thursday, 10 September 2015
Time Meeting Room 1 (Chairman: Shingo Takahashi) Meeting Room 2 (Chairman: Manahan Siallagan)
Name Paper Title Name Paper Title
10:15 – 10:35 Ichiro Takahashi and Isamu Okada Effect of Wage Rigidity on Agent-based Wicksell-Keynes Economy Mhd Irvan and Takao Terano Distributed Classifier System for Smart Home’s Machine Learning
10:40 – 11:00 Ilham Nurdayat and Manahan Siallagan Land Use decision making process: agent-based modeling approach Tatsuko Suzuki, Kohei Okamoto, Toshiyuki Kaneda and Masaki Tamada An Analysis of the Characteristics of a Proactive Exploration Behavior Model Based on Three-Dimensional Virtual Space Experiments
11:05 – 11:25 Dania Dwiartika Agent-based Modeling and Simulation on People Willingness to Donate Blood Noorhan Firdaus Pambudi and Akbar Adhiutama Delivering value of composting and recycling in household waste management system: An agent-based modeling approach
11:30 – 11:50 Takeyori Nabeta, Tabashi Yamada, Gaku Yamamoto, Atsushi Yoshikawa and Takao Terano Exploration of good strategies in real-time bidding Naomi Putri Tjahyani and Utomo Sarjono Putro The role of social norms on decisions to consume or not consume illegal music: An agent-based model and simulation approach
Meeting Room 1 (Chairman: Hiroshi Deguchi)
Meeting Room 2 (Chairman: Alfred Taudes*)
13:00 – 13:20 Osamu Matsumoto, Masashi Miyazaki, Yoko Ishino and Shingo Takahashi Method for Getting Parameters of Agent-based Model using Bayesian Network: A Case of Medical Insurance Market Chaiwat Thawiworadilok, Mohsen Jafari Songhori and Takao Terano Coping with bullying in a class room through agent-based modeling
13:25 – 13:45 Cheong Siew Ann A complex agent network model of youth violence Takamasa Kikuchi, Hiroshi Takahashi and Takao Terano The Propagation of Bankruptcies of Financial Institutions — an Agent Model of Financing Behavior and Asset Price Fluctuations
13:50 – 14:10 Mutia Ulfi and Manahan Siallagan Exploring the Aggressiveness Type of Drivers and Their Contribution to the Congestion: Preliminary Re-search of Analysis of Traffic Congestion in Bandung Masatora Daito and Noriyuki Tanida An Agent-Based Model of Housing Policy for Supporting Easy Access to the Hospital
Day 3 : Friday, 11 September 2015
Time Meeting Room 1 (Chairman: Toshiyuki Kaneda*) Meeting Room 2 (Chairman: Takao Terano)
Name Paper Title Name Paper Title
10:15 – 10:35 Layung Anindya Prasetyanti Modelling Collaboration in Supply Chain using Agent Based Model and Simulation Manahan Siallagan and Niken P. Martono Agent-based Simulations of Household Decision Making and Land Use Change, Case Study: Jambi Province, Indonesia
10:40 – 11:00 Iphov Kumala Sriwana, Yandra Arkeman,Dahrulsyah Dahrulsyah and Marimin Marimin Agent-based modelling of the Palm Oil Supply Chain Irsanti Hasyim, Shimaditya Nuraeni, and Manahan Siallagan Agent Based Simulation in Social Security Administrative Agency (BPJS) Implementation at Indonesia
11:05 – 11:25 Harbir Lamba The Transition from Brownian Motion to Boom-and-Bust Dynamics in Financial and Economic Systems Shena Nadya Nirmala, Utomo Sarjono Putro and Manahan Parlindungan Siallagan Developing Policy to Increase Cattle Population, Milk Production, and Improve Farmer’s Walfare Using Agent-Based Modeling Case Study in Pangalengan, Bandung District

(*)Subject to change